Wednesday, August 16, 2006

Online Video Growth Will Be Driven by Portable Devices and Download-to-Burn

ABI: While 2006 has seen a rapid increase in consumers' use of online video, spurred by the breakout success of websites such as YouTube, the vast majority of video content delivered over the Internet is still held captive on the PC. Over the next five years new viewing options such as network-enabled video players and download-to-burn will add momentum and broaden the overall market by giving consumers additional choices in how they consume video content. The percentage of Internet-delivered video viewed on a portable device will go from just 3% today to 16% by 2011. This move to portable viewing will be driven largely by a new class of devices with embedded networking connectivity and seamless integration with online video providers. As portable media hardware vendors such as Apple and Microsoft add networking connectivity to their products, and Sony moves away from UMD toward network-based video delivery for the PSP, more content will become portable as it becomes less dependant on the PC. Networked portable media players will not be the only reason for increased momentum in Internet video. Content owners and aggregators are both expanding available libraries while adding new usage models for consumers. Recent moves by both CinemaNow and Movielink to allow for download-to-burn of Internet-delivered video has already resulted in increased adoption of these services, and ABI Research expects that expanded options such as these will continue to drive consumers toward the Internet as a source for video content. Download-to-burn and networked portable devices are just two examples of increased choice for consumers in how they view Internet-delivered video. Content companies, rather than adopting their historical ‘hunker down' mentality in the face of new technology, are increasingly embracing these new usage models as they grapple with the maturation of the theatrical and traditional home video market, and become more comfortable with the underlying delivery and content protection frameworks. Future of Video Sharing Sites, User Generated and Copy-Protected Content discusses the challenges faced by YouTube with respect to competing services, hosting of copyrighted content and its laid-back attitude towards monetizing its leading position. It also focuses on digital cinema, open source DRM, and other late-breaking issues. It is the latest update to ABI Research's Digital Media Distribution and Management Research Service, Publ 20060816