Global Navigation Satellite System Receiver Shipments to Increase Sevenfold by 2011

ABI: Over 40 million global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) receivers were shipped in 2005, but in 2011 the market will have grown to nearly 300 million shipments. That growth will not occur evenly across the board. In 2005, in-vehicle navigation systems accounted for just 26% of the total shipments, but 34% of worldwide GNSS hardware revenues. In 2011, in contrast, in-vehicle navigation shipments will represent just 16% of the total market, but will still deliver 29% of the hardware revenue. The most significant trend, however, is the growing importance of the communications sector, almost entirely made up of GPS-enabled handsets. In 2005, communications accounted for 43% of the total market in terms of shipments. In 2011 that will have grown to 69%, but the revenue derived from it will have doubled, from just 9% in 2005. Much of that added growth will come from the mass uptake of GNSS services by the majority of the world's mobile subscribers who use GSM handsets. As that trend develops, the fastest regional growth, which until now has been seen in North America and parts of Asia, will shift to Europe. While communications will be the standout, and portable navigation—buoyed by falling prices and a flood of new offerings—will remain a strong and popular application, other sectors will show more modest gains. Garmin, TomTom, Magellan, Thales, Trimble, and more specialized GNSS vendors such as Rockwell Collins, Leica, and Honeywell will see a variety of expanding opportunities. Military applications will increase,, especially driven by the US military's aggressive push to equip not just vehicles but individual soldiers with GPS. Civil aviation will see some growth due to the increasing popularity of regional commuter and executive jets. The deployment of the European Galileo GNSS satellites will boost mapping and surveying applications as well: the more satellites in the sky, the greater the availability of the signal, and the more accurate the location data it provides.

Automotive Infotainment Publ 20060920