Semiconductor Equipment Companies Expect Sales of US$32.95 Billion in 2005

SEMI : The leading manufacturers of semiconductor equipment project 2005 sales to reach $32.95 billion according to the year-end edition of the Capital Equipment Consensus Forecast, released by SEMI at the annual SEMICON Japan exposition. The forecast indicates that, following the robust 67 percent market expansion in 2004, the equipment market will decline 11.2 percent in 2005. Survey respondents see the market growing at a single-digit rate in 2006 and resuming double-digit growth over the following two years to reach $46.63 billion in 2008. Capital spending in 2005 reflects an anticipated cyclic decline following the very high investment levels of the prior year. However, this remains the third strongest year for worldwide semiconductor equipment sales. Furthermore, SEMI members expect the equipment market to continue posting sequential gains over the next three years as chipmakers continue to invest in 300 mm fabs and 65 nm technology.

The SEMI Year-End Consensus Forecast indicates that the final manufacturing equipment segments will experience the sharpest declines this year. Survey respondents anticipate that the market for assembly and packaging equipment will contract 19 percent to $1.99 billion in 2005. The market for equipment to test semiconductors is expected to decline about 17 percent to $5.27 billion this year. Wafer processing equipment, the largest product segment by dollar value, is expected to decline nearly 10 percent in 2005 to $22.97 billion.

The Japanese market, which grew more than 49 percent last year, remains the largest market region for worldwide equipment sales with $8.04 billion of new equipment sold into the region in 2005. South Korea stands out as the only expanding regional equipment market in 2005, with growth of almost 28 percent. Sales of new equipment in China and the Rest-of-World market regions will decline 54 percent and 35 percent respectively. SEMI Capital Equipment Consensus Forecast

Publ 20051207